Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Huesca win with a probability of 39.16%. A draw had a probability of 31.6% and a win for Cartagena had a probability of 29.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Huesca win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.13%) and 2-1 (6.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.88%), while for a Cartagena win it was 0-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Huesca would win this match.
0.04) 
-0.41) 
