Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Gijon win with a probability of 46.7%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Cartagena had a probability of 25.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Gijon win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.25%) and 1-2 (8.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.77%), while for a Cartagena win it was 1-0 (9.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Cartagena | Draw | Sporting Gijon |
25.91% ( 0.07) | 27.38% ( 0) | 46.7% ( -0.07) |
Both teams to score 45.79% ( 0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.03% ( 0.03) | 58.97% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.55% ( 0.02) | 79.45% ( -0.02) |
Cartagena Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.28% ( 0.07) | 38.72% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.54% ( 0.07) | 75.45% ( -0.06) |
Sporting Gijon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.72% ( -0.02) | 25.28% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.95% ( -0.03) | 60.05% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Cartagena | Draw | Sporting Gijon |
1-0 @ 9.29% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 6.06% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 4.41% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 1.92% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.39% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.32% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.53% Total : 25.91% | 1-1 @ 12.77% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.79% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.17% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.66% Total : 27.38% | 0-1 @ 13.46% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 9.25% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.78% ( -0) 0-3 @ 4.24% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 4.03% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.91% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.46% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.38% ( -0) Other @ 2.19% Total : 46.7% |
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