Copa del Rey | Second Round
Dec 6, 2023 at 11am UK
Estadio Santo Domingo
Cartagena win 5-4 on penalties
Coverage of the Copa del Rey Second Round clash between Alcorcon and Cartagena.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alcorcon win with a probability of 40.34%. A win for Cartagena had a probability of 30.94% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alcorcon win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.03%) and 2-0 (7.86%). The likeliest Cartagena win was 0-1 (10.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.27%).
| Result |
| Alcorcon | Draw | Cartagena |
40.34% ( 0.07) | 28.72% ( -0.26) | 30.94% ( 0.18) |
| Both teams to score 44.9% ( 0.74) |
| 38.56% ( 0.88) | 61.43% ( -0.89) |
| 18.68% ( 0.65) | 81.32% ( -0.66) |
| 70.17% ( 0.48) | 29.83% ( -0.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.09% ( 0.58) | 65.91% ( -0.58) |
| 63.99% ( 0.62) | 36% ( -0.62) |
