SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alcorcon win with a probability of 40.34%. A win for Cartagena had a probability of 30.94% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alcorcon win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.03%) and 2-0 (7.86%). The likeliest Cartagena win was 0-1 (10.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.27%).
| Result | ||
| Alcorcon | Draw | Cartagena |
40.34% ( 0.07) | 28.72% ( -0.26) | 30.94% ( 0.18) |
| Both teams to score 44.9% ( 0.74) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.56% ( 0.88) | 61.43% ( -0.89) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.68% ( 0.65) | 81.32% ( -0.66) |
| Alcorcon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.17% ( 0.48) | 29.83% ( -0.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.09% ( 0.58) | 65.91% ( -0.58) |
| Cartagena Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.99% ( 0.62) | 36% ( -0.62) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.21% ( 0.62) | 72.78% ( -0.63) |
| Score Analysis |
| Alcorcon | Draw | Cartagena |
| 1-0 @ 12.99% ( -0.26) 2-1 @ 8.03% ( 0.08)2-0 @ 7.86% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 3.24% ( 0.08)3-0 @ 3.17% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.65% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 0.98% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 0.96% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.47% Total : 40.34% | 1-1 @ 13.27% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 10.73% ( -0.37)2-2 @ 4.1% ( 0.11)Other @ 0.61% Total : 28.71% | 0-1 @ 10.97% ( -0.18) 1-2 @ 6.78% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 5.6% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.31% ( 0.07)0-3 @ 1.91% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.06)Other @ 1.97% Total : 30.94% |
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