Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elche win with a probability of 51.38%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Cartagena had a probability of 20.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elche win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.1%) and 2-1 (8.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.37%), while for a Cartagena win it was 0-1 (8.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
0.03) 
-0.04) 
