Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Huesca win with a probability of 46.91%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Cartagena had a probability of 26.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Huesca win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.14%) and 2-1 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.67%), while for a Cartagena win it was 0-1 (9.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.