SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Huesca win with a probability of 43.79%. A win for Elche had a probability of 28.25% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Huesca win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.59%) and 2-1 (8.5%). The likeliest Elche win was 0-1 (9.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Huesca | Draw | Elche |
43.79% ( -1.16) | 27.96% ( 0.52) | 28.25% ( 0.64) |
| Both teams to score 45.79% ( -1.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.25% ( -1.51) | 59.75% ( 1.52) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.96% ( -1.17) | 80.04% ( 1.18) |
| Huesca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.89% ( -1.3) | 27.11% ( 1.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.5% ( -1.72) | 62.5% ( 1.73) |
| Elche Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.82% ( -0.3) | 37.18% ( 0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.04% ( -0.3) | 73.96% ( 0.31) |
| Score Analysis |
| Huesca | Draw | Elche |
| 1-0 @ 13.15% ( 0.27) 2-0 @ 8.59% ( -0.14)2-1 @ 8.5% ( -0.21)3-0 @ 3.74% ( -0.2)3-1 @ 3.7% ( -0.24)3-2 @ 1.83% ( -0.13)4-0 @ 1.22% ( -0.12)4-1 @ 1.21% ( -0.13)Other @ 1.87% Total : 43.79% | 1-1 @ 13.01% ( 0.15) 0-0 @ 10.08% ( 0.56)2-2 @ 4.2% ( -0.14)Other @ 0.66% Total : 27.95% | 0-1 @ 9.97% ( 0.48) 1-2 @ 6.44% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 4.94% ( 0.2)1-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.63% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.06)Other @ 1.77% Total : 28.25% |
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