SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Gijon win with a probability of 48.83%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Elche had a probability of 23.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Gijon win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.11%) and 2-1 (8.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.66%), while for a Elche win it was 0-1 (9.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sporting Gijon would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sporting Gijon | Draw | Elche |
48.83% ( -0.12) | 27.68% ( 0.06) | 23.49% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 42.97% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.49% ( -0.15) | 61.51% ( 0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.63% ( -0.11) | 81.37% ( 0.11) |
| Sporting Gijon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.6% ( -0.13) | 25.4% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.79% ( -0.17) | 60.21% ( 0.18) |
| Elche Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.6% ( -0.03) | 42.39% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.22% ( -0.02) | 78.78% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sporting Gijon | Draw | Elche |
| 1-0 @ 14.75% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 10.11% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 8.68% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 4.62% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 3.96% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.7% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.58% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.36% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.06% Total : 48.82% | 1-1 @ 12.66% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 10.76% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 3.72% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.53% Total : 27.67% | 0-1 @ 9.24% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 5.43% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.97% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.55% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.13% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.07% ( -0)Other @ 1.1% Total : 23.49% |
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