Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Gijon win with a probability of 48.83%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Elche had a probability of 23.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Gijon win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.11%) and 2-1 (8.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.66%), while for a Elche win it was 0-1 (9.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sporting Gijon would win this match.
-0.12) 
0.06) 
