SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elche win with a probability of 44.21%. A draw had a probability of 29.1% and a win for Leganes had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elche win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.1%) and 2-1 (8.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.12%), while for a Leganes win it was 0-1 (10.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Elche in this match.
| Result | ||
| Elche | Draw | Leganes |
44.21% ( -0.85) | 29.09% ( 0.01) | 26.7% ( 0.84) |
| Both teams to score 41.96% ( 0.52) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.91% ( 0.36) | 64.09% ( -0.36) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.75% ( 0.26) | 83.25% ( -0.25) |
| Elche Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.03% ( -0.28) | 28.97% ( 0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.14% ( -0.35) | 64.86% ( 0.35) |
| Leganes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.08% ( 0.96) | 40.92% ( -0.96) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.52% ( 0.84) | 77.48% ( -0.84) |
| Score Analysis |
| Elche | Draw | Leganes |
| 1-0 @ 14.68% ( -0.32) 2-0 @ 9.1% ( -0.27)2-1 @ 8.13% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 3.76% ( -0.14)3-1 @ 3.36% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 1.5% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.16% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 1.04% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.48% Total : 44.2% | 1-1 @ 13.12% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 11.85% ( -0.16)2-2 @ 3.63% ( 0.08)Other @ 0.48% Total : 29.08% | 0-1 @ 10.59% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 5.86% ( 0.18)0-2 @ 4.73% ( 0.18)1-3 @ 1.75% ( 0.1)0-3 @ 1.41% ( 0.09)2-3 @ 1.08% ( 0.05)Other @ 1.27% Total : 26.7% |
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