Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Huesca win with a probability of 40.58%. A win for Mirandes had a probability of 31% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Huesca win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.14%) and 2-0 (7.84%). The likeliest Mirandes win was 0-1 (10.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.21%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Huesca would win this match.