Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cartagena win with a probability of 44.92%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Mirandes had a probability of 27.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cartagena win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.91%) and 2-1 (8.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.95%), while for a Mirandes win it was 0-1 (9.81%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cartagena would win this match.