SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mirandes win with a probability of 40.94%. A win for Malaga had a probability of 29.86% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mirandes win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.16%) and 2-1 (7.92%). The likeliest Malaga win was 0-1 (11.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mirandes would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Mirandes | Draw | Malaga |
| 40.94% | 29.2% | 29.86% |
| Both teams to score 43.26% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.72% | 63.28% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.33% | 82.67% |
| Mirandes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.6% | 30.4% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 33.4% | 66.6% |
| Malaga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.16% | 37.84% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 25.38% | 74.62% |
| Score Analysis |
| Mirandes | Draw | Malaga |
| 1-0 @ 13.69% 2-0 @ 8.16% 2-1 @ 7.92% 3-0 @ 3.24% 3-1 @ 3.15% 3-2 @ 1.53% 4-0 @ 0.96% 4-1 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.35% Total : 40.93% | 1-1 @ 13.31% 0-0 @ 11.5% 2-2 @ 3.85% Other @ 0.53% Total : 29.19% | 0-1 @ 11.18% 1-2 @ 6.47% 0-2 @ 5.43% 1-3 @ 2.1% 0-3 @ 1.76% 2-3 @ 1.25% Other @ 1.68% Total : 29.86% |
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