Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mirandes win with a probability of 40.94%. A win for Malaga had a probability of 29.86% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mirandes win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.16%) and 2-1 (7.92%). The likeliest Malaga win was 0-1 (11.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mirandes would win this match.
