Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lugo win with a probability of 35.6%. A win for Mirandes had a probability of 34.88% and a draw had a probability of 29.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lugo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.29%) and 2-0 (6.82%). The likeliest Mirandes win was 0-1 (12.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lugo would win this match.
