SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lugo win with a probability of 35.6%. A win for Mirandes had a probability of 34.88% and a draw had a probability of 29.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lugo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.29%) and 2-0 (6.82%). The likeliest Mirandes win was 0-1 (12.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lugo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lugo | Draw | Mirandes |
| 35.6% | 29.51% | 34.88% |
| Both teams to score 43.45% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.46% | 63.54% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.15% | 82.85% |
| Lugo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.16% | 33.84% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.49% | 70.51% |
| Mirandes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.68% | 34.32% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 28.97% | 71.03% |
| Score Analysis |
| Lugo | Draw | Mirandes |
| 1-0 @ 12.58% 2-1 @ 7.29% 2-0 @ 6.82% 3-1 @ 2.63% 3-0 @ 2.46% 3-2 @ 1.41% Other @ 2.41% Total : 35.6% | 1-1 @ 13.45% 0-0 @ 11.61% 2-2 @ 3.9% Other @ 0.54% Total : 29.5% | 0-1 @ 12.42% 1-2 @ 7.2% 0-2 @ 6.64% 1-3 @ 2.57% 0-3 @ 2.37% 2-3 @ 1.39% Other @ 2.31% Total : 34.88% |
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