Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Huesca win with a probability of 37.04%. A win for Ponferradina had a probability of 32.96% and a draw had a probability of 30%.
The most likely scoreline for a Huesca win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.32%) and 2-0 (7.28%). The likeliest Ponferradina win was 0-1 (12.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.