Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Las Palmas win with a probability of 50.28%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Mirandes had a probability of 23.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Las Palmas win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.82%) and 2-1 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.29%), while for a Mirandes win it was 0-1 (8.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Las Palmas in this match.