SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Oviedo win with a probability of 35.13%. A win for Las Palmas had a probability of 34.15% and a draw had a probability of 30.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Oviedo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.89%) and 2-1 (6.88%). The likeliest Las Palmas win was 0-1 (13.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Oviedo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Real Oviedo | Draw | Las Palmas |
| 35.13% | 30.72% | 34.15% |
| Both teams to score 40.28% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 32.72% | 67.28% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 14.54% | 85.45% |
| Real Oviedo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.81% | 36.18% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 27.03% | 72.97% |
| Las Palmas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.13% | 36.87% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 26.34% | 73.66% |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Oviedo | Draw | Las Palmas |
| 1-0 @ 13.56% 2-0 @ 6.89% 2-1 @ 6.88% 3-0 @ 2.34% 3-1 @ 2.33% 3-2 @ 1.16% Other @ 1.97% Total : 35.13% | 1-1 @ 13.53% 0-0 @ 13.34% 2-2 @ 3.43% Other @ 0.41% Total : 30.71% | 0-1 @ 13.31% 1-2 @ 6.75% 0-2 @ 6.64% 1-3 @ 2.25% 0-3 @ 2.21% 2-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 1.85% Total : 34.15% |
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