Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leganes win with a probability of 56.85%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Amorebieta had a probability of 17.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leganes win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.62%) and 2-1 (8.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.56%), while for an Amorebieta win it was 0-1 (7.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 16.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Leganes in this match.
