Leganes
1 - 2
Rayo Vallecano

(Rayo Vallecano win 5-1 on aggregate)

Ibanez (11')
Perez (24'), Gonzalez (66'), Hernandez (83')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Gonzalez (67' og.), Martin (80')
Saveljich (4'), Catena (14')

Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Leganes and Rayo Vallecano.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 37.63%. A win for Leganes had a probability of 31.57% and a draw had a probability of 30.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.57%) and 1-2 (7.13%). The likeliest Leganes win was 1-0 (12.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (13.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rayo Vallecano would win this match.

Result
Leganes	Draw	Rayo Vallecano
31.57%	30.8%	37.63%

Both teams to score 39.79%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

32.28%

67.72%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

14.25%

85.75%

Leganes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.99%

39.01%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.26%

75.74%

Rayo Vallecano Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.25%

34.75%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.52%

71.48%

Score Analysis

Leganes 31.57%

Rayo Vallecano 37.63%

Draw 30.78%

Leganes	Draw	Rayo Vallecano
1-0 @ 12.76% 2-1 @ 6.35% 2-0 @ 6.01% 3-1 @ 1.99% 3-0 @ 1.88% 3-2 @ 1.05% Other @ 1.53% Total : 31.57%	0-0 @ 13.55% 1-1 @ 13.48% 2-2 @ 3.36% Other @ 0.4% Total : 30.78%	0-1 @ 14.33% 0-2 @ 7.57% 1-2 @ 7.13% 0-3 @ 2.67% 1-3 @ 2.51% 2-3 @ 1.18% Other @ 2.24% Total : 37.63%