Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almeria win with a probability of 62.79%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Amorebieta had a probability of 14.95%.
The most likely scoreline for an Almeria win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.62%) and 1-2 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.45%), while for an Amorebieta win it was 1-0 (5.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.
