SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leganes win with a probability of 47.08%. A draw had a probability of 30% and a win for Las Palmas had a probability of 22.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leganes win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.32%) and 2-1 (7.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.98%), while for a Las Palmas win it was 0-1 (10.51%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leganes would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Leganes | Draw | Las Palmas |
| 47.08% | 30% | 22.92% |
| Both teams to score 37.18% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 31.45% | 68.55% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 13.7% | 86.3% |
| Leganes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.33% | 29.67% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.28% | 65.72% |
| Las Palmas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.87% | 47.13% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 17.41% | 82.59% |
| Score Analysis |
| Leganes | Draw | Las Palmas |
| 1-0 @ 16.99% 2-0 @ 10.32% 2-1 @ 7.77% 3-0 @ 4.18% 3-1 @ 3.15% 4-0 @ 1.27% 3-2 @ 1.18% 4-1 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.26% Total : 47.07% | 0-0 @ 13.98% 1-1 @ 12.78% 2-2 @ 2.92% Other @ 0.32% Total : 30% | 0-1 @ 10.51% 1-2 @ 4.81% 0-2 @ 3.96% 1-3 @ 1.21% 0-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 1.45% Total : 22.92% |
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