Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Las Palmas win with a probability of 48.48%. A draw had a probability of 28.9% and a win for Alcorcon had a probability of 22.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Las Palmas win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.48%) and 2-1 (8.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.7%), while for an Alcorcon win it was 0-1 (9.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Las Palmas would win this match.
