SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leganes win with a probability of 37.31%. A win for Las Palmas had a probability of 32.25% and a draw had a probability of 30.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leganes win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.43%) and 2-1 (7.21%). The likeliest Las Palmas win was 0-1 (12.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Leganes in this match.
| Result | ||
| Leganes | Draw | Las Palmas |
| 37.31% | 30.44% | 32.25% |
| Both teams to score 40.79% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 33.4% | 66.6% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.01% | 84.99% |
| Leganes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.64% | 34.35% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 28.94% | 71.06% |
| Las Palmas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.13% | 37.87% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 25.36% | 74.64% |
| Score Analysis |
| Leganes | Draw | Las Palmas |
| 1-0 @ 13.89% 2-0 @ 7.43% 2-1 @ 7.21% 3-0 @ 2.65% 3-1 @ 2.57% 3-2 @ 1.25% Other @ 2.32% Total : 37.3% | 1-1 @ 13.49% 0-0 @ 13% 2-2 @ 3.5% Other @ 0.43% Total : 30.42% | 0-1 @ 12.63% 1-2 @ 6.55% 0-2 @ 6.13% 1-3 @ 2.12% 0-3 @ 1.99% 2-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 1.69% Total : 32.25% |
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