Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almeria win with a probability of 49.29%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Leganes had a probability of 23.17%.
The most likely scoreline for an Almeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.21%) and 2-1 (8.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.61%), while for a Leganes win it was 0-1 (9.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Almeria in this match.