SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leganes win with a probability of 41.85%. A win for Malaga had a probability of 29.08% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leganes win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.38%) and 2-1 (8.03%). The likeliest Malaga win was 0-1 (10.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Leganes in this match.
| Result | ||
| Leganes | Draw | Malaga |
41.85% ( -0.02) | 29.06% ( -0.12) | 29.08% ( 0.14) |
| Both teams to score 43.28% ( 0.37) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.9% ( 0.42) | 63.09% ( -0.43) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.46% ( 0.3) | 82.53% ( -0.3) |
| Leganes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.21% ( 0.2) | 29.79% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.14% ( 0.24) | 65.86% ( -0.25) |
| Malaga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.64% ( 0.35) | 38.35% ( -0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.89% ( 0.33) | 75.11% ( -0.33) |
| Score Analysis |
| Leganes | Draw | Malaga |
| 1-0 @ 13.83% ( -0.14) 2-0 @ 8.38% ( -0.04)2-1 @ 8.03% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 3.38% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.24% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 1.55% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1.02% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 0.98% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.42% Total : 41.84% | 1-1 @ 13.25% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 11.42% ( -0.18)2-2 @ 3.85% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.53% Total : 29.05% | 0-1 @ 10.94% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 6.35% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 5.25% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.03% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 1.68% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.6% Total : 29.08% |
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