Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leganes win with a probability of 40.61%. A draw had a probability of 32.9% and a win for Malaga had a probability of 26.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leganes win was 0-1 with a probability of 17.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.75%) and 1-2 (6.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (17.2%), while for a Malaga win it was 1-0 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leganes would win this match.