Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tenerife win with a probability of 43.14%. A draw had a probability of 29% and a win for Malaga had a probability of 27.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tenerife win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.73%) and 2-1 (8.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.18%), while for a Malaga win it was 0-1 (10.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tenerife would win this match.

Result
Tenerife	Draw	Malaga
43.14% ( 0.38)	28.98% ( -0.04)	27.88% ( -0.33)

Both teams to score 42.91% (

-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

36.75% (

0.02)

63.25% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.35% (

0.01)

82.65% (

-0.01)

Tenerife Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.85% (

0.22)

29.15% (

-0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.92% (

0.27)

65.08% (

-0.26)

Malaga Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.57% (

-0.27)

39.43% (

0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.87% (

-0.25)

76.13% (

0.25)

Score Analysis

Tenerife 43.13%

Malaga 27.88%

Draw 28.97%

Tenerife	Draw	Malaga
1-0 @ 14.16% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 8.73% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 8.13% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 3.59% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 3.34% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 1.55% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.11% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.03% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.49% Total : 43.13%	1-1 @ 13.18% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 11.49% 2-2 @ 3.78% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.52% Total : 28.97%	0-1 @ 10.69% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 6.14% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 4.98% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.45% Total : 27.88%