Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leganes win with a probability of 43.01%. A draw had a probability of 30.5% and a win for Sabadell had a probability of 26.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leganes win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.1%) and 2-1 (7.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.86%), while for a Sabadell win it was 0-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leganes would win this match.