Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sabadell win with a probability of 35.74%. A win for Malaga had a probability of 34% and a draw had a probability of 30.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sabadell win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.09%) and 0-2 (6.98%). The likeliest Malaga win was 1-0 (12.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
