Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leganes win with a probability of 41.3%. A draw had a probability of 30.8% and a win for Real Oviedo had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leganes win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.63%) and 1-2 (7.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.98%), while for a Real Oviedo win it was 1-0 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leganes would win this match.