Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lugo win with a probability of 36.9%. A draw had a probability of 32.2% and a win for Sabadell had a probability of 30.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lugo win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.56%) and 2-1 (6.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (15.63%), while for a Sabadell win it was 0-1 (13.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood.
