Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leganes win with a probability of 41.03%. A draw had a probability of 30% and a win for Tenerife had a probability of 28.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leganes win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.38%) and 2-1 (7.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.34%), while for a Tenerife win it was 0-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leganes would win this match.
Result | ||
Leganes | Draw | Tenerife |
41.03% ( 0.3) | 30.01% ( -0.12) | 28.95% ( -0.18) |
Both teams to score 40.87% ( 0.2) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
33.97% ( 0.28) | 66.03% ( -0.29) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
15.4% ( 0.19) | 84.6% ( -0.2) |
Leganes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.25% ( 0.32) | 31.75% ( -0.33) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.83% ( 0.37) | 68.17% ( -0.37) |
Tenerife Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.88% ( 0.01) | 40.12% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.24% ( 0.01) | 76.76% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Leganes | Draw | Tenerife |
1-0 @ 14.61% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 8.38% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 7.66% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 3.21% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 2.93% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 1.34% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 0.92% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.99% Total : 41.03% | 1-1 @ 13.34% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 12.73% ( -0.14) 2-2 @ 3.5% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.44% Total : 30% | 0-1 @ 11.63% ( -0.12) 1-2 @ 6.1% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.31% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 1.86% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.62% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.38% Total : 28.95% |
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