Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leganes win with a probability of 41.03%. A draw had a probability of 30% and a win for Tenerife had a probability of 28.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leganes win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.38%) and 2-1 (7.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.34%), while for a Tenerife win it was 0-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leganes would win this match.
0.3) 
-0.12) 
