Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Levante win with a probability of 55.38%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Sporting Gijon had a probability of 18.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Levante win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.63%) and 2-1 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.8%), while for a Sporting Gijon win it was 0-1 (7.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Levante in this match.