Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Gijon win with a probability of 38.08%. A win for Eibar had a probability of 33.03% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Gijon win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.76%) and 2-0 (7.31%). The likeliest Eibar win was 0-1 (11.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sporting Gijon would win this match.

Result
Sporting Gijon	Draw	Eibar
38.08% ( 1.66)	28.89% ( -0.35)	33.03% ( -1.31)

Both teams to score 44.97% (

0.79)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.39% (

1.04)

61.61% (

-1.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.55% (

0.76)

81.44% (

-0.77)

Sporting Gijon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.74% (

1.58)

31.26% (

-1.58)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.39% (

1.79)

67.61% (

-1.8)

Eibar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.42% (

-0.36)

34.58% (

0.36)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.7% (

-0.39)

71.3% (

0.38)

Score Analysis

Sporting Gijon 38.08%

Eibar 33.02%

Draw 28.87%

Sporting Gijon	Draw	Eibar
1-0 @ 12.57% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 7.76% ( 0.29) 2-0 @ 7.31% ( 0.34) 3-1 @ 3.01% ( 0.24) 3-0 @ 2.83% ( 0.25) 3-2 @ 1.6% ( 0.11) Other @ 3% Total : 38.08%	1-1 @ 13.34% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 10.8% ( -0.43) 2-2 @ 4.12% ( 0.12) Other @ 0.61% Total : 28.87%	0-1 @ 11.47% ( -0.57) 1-2 @ 7.09% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 6.09% ( -0.37) 1-3 @ 2.51% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 2.16% ( -0.15) 2-3 @ 1.46% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.24% Total : 33.02%