SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Gijon win with a probability of 46.44%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for UD Ibiza had a probability of 26.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Gijon win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.18%) and 2-1 (8.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.79%), while for a UD Ibiza win it was 0-1 (9.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sporting Gijon would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sporting Gijon | Draw | UD Ibiza |
46.44% ( 0.11) | 27.41% ( -0.03) | 26.16% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 45.91% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.09% ( 0.05) | 58.91% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.6% ( 0.04) | 79.4% ( -0.04) |
| Sporting Gijon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.61% ( 0.08) | 25.38% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.81% ( 0.1) | 60.19% ( -0.11) |
| UD Ibiza Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.53% ( -0.05) | 38.47% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.78% ( -0.05) | 75.22% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sporting Gijon | Draw | UD Ibiza |
| 1-0 @ 13.38% 2-0 @ 9.18% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 8.77% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.19% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 4.01% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.91% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.44% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.37% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.18% Total : 46.43% | 1-1 @ 12.79% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.77% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 4.19% Other @ 0.66% Total : 27.41% | 0-1 @ 9.33% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 6.11% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.46% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.95% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.33% ( -0)Other @ 1.57% Total : 26.16% |
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