Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alaves win with a probability of 43.53%. A draw had a probability of 29.5% and a win for Sporting Gijon had a probability of 26.93%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alaves win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.02%) and 2-1 (7.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.18%), while for a Sporting Gijon win it was 0-1 (10.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Alaves | Draw | Sporting Gijon |
43.53% ( 0.32) | 29.54% ( -0.13) | 26.93% ( -0.19) |
Both teams to score 41.01% ( 0.19) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
34.66% ( 0.29) | 65.34% ( -0.29) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
15.87% ( 0.2) | 84.13% ( -0.2) |
Alaves Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.03% ( 0.32) | 29.97% ( -0.32) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.91% ( 0.38) | 66.08% ( -0.39) |
Sporting Gijon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.56% | 41.44% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.05% | 77.94% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Alaves | Draw | Sporting Gijon |
1-0 @ 14.96% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 9.02% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 7.94% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 3.62% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 3.19% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 1.41% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.09% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 0.96% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.33% Total : 43.52% | 1-1 @ 13.18% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 12.41% ( -0.14) 2-2 @ 3.5% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.44% Total : 29.53% | 0-1 @ 10.94% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 5.81% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.82% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 1.71% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.22% Total : 26.93% |
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