SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Granada win with a probability of 44.72%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Sporting Gijon had a probability of 27.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Granada win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.85%) and 2-1 (8.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.97%), while for a Sporting Gijon win it was 0-1 (9.84%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Granada would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Granada | Draw | Sporting Gijon |
44.72% ( 1.69) | 27.92% ( -0.55) | 27.36% ( -1.14) |
| Both teams to score 45.36% ( 0.81) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.98% ( 1.34) | 60.02% ( -1.34) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.75% ( 1.01) | 80.25% ( -1.01) |
| Granada Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.24% ( 1.53) | 26.76% ( -1.53) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.96% ( 1.97) | 62.04% ( -1.97) |
| Sporting Gijon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.94% ( -0.19) | 38.06% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.17% ( -0.19) | 74.82% ( 0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Granada | Draw | Sporting Gijon |
| 1-0 @ 13.42% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 8.85% ( 0.31)2-1 @ 8.55% ( 0.25)3-0 @ 3.89% ( 0.29)3-1 @ 3.76% ( 0.27)3-2 @ 1.82% ( 0.12)4-0 @ 1.28% ( 0.15)4-1 @ 1.24% ( 0.14)Other @ 1.92% Total : 44.71% | 1-1 @ 12.97% ( -0.16) 0-0 @ 10.18% ( -0.52)2-2 @ 4.13% ( 0.1)Other @ 0.63% Total : 27.91% | 0-1 @ 9.84% ( -0.56) 1-2 @ 6.27% ( -0.11)0-2 @ 4.75% ( -0.3)1-3 @ 2.02% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.11)2-3 @ 1.33% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.63% Total : 27.36% |
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