SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Las Palmas win with a probability of 42.72%. A draw had a probability of 31.3% and a win for Lugo had a probability of 26.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Las Palmas win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.16%) and 1-2 (7.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.94%), while for a Lugo win it was 1-0 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lugo | Draw | Las Palmas |
| 26.02% | 31.26% | 42.72% |
| Both teams to score 36.68% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 29.66% | 70.34% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 12.55% | 87.45% |
| Lugo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.78% | 45.22% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 18.89% | 81.11% |
| Las Palmas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.96% | 33.04% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.37% | 69.63% |
| Score Analysis |
| Lugo | Draw | Las Palmas |
| 1-0 @ 11.85% 2-1 @ 5.21% 2-0 @ 4.71% 3-1 @ 1.38% 3-0 @ 1.25% Other @ 1.63% Total : 26.02% | 0-0 @ 14.94% 1-1 @ 13.13% 2-2 @ 2.89% Other @ 0.3% Total : 31.25% | 0-1 @ 16.54% 0-2 @ 9.16% 1-2 @ 7.27% 0-3 @ 3.38% 1-3 @ 2.68% 2-3 @ 1.07% 0-4 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.67% Total : 42.71% |
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