SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malaga win with a probability of 36.32%. A win for Lugo had a probability of 32.59% and a draw had a probability of 31.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malaga win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.26%) and 2-1 (6.9%). The likeliest Lugo win was 0-1 (13.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (13.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Malaga | Draw | Lugo |
| 36.32% | 31.09% | 32.59% |
| Both teams to score 39.25% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 31.56% | 68.44% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 13.78% | 86.22% |
| Malaga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.98% | 36.02% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 27.2% | 72.79% |
| Lugo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.34% | 38.66% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 24.6% | 75.4% |
| Score Analysis |
| Malaga | Draw | Lugo |
| 1-0 @ 14.21% 2-0 @ 7.26% 2-1 @ 6.9% 3-0 @ 2.47% 3-1 @ 2.35% 3-2 @ 1.12% Other @ 2% Total : 36.31% | 0-0 @ 13.92% 1-1 @ 13.51% 2-2 @ 3.28% Other @ 0.38% Total : 31.09% | 0-1 @ 13.23% 1-2 @ 6.42% 0-2 @ 6.29% 1-3 @ 2.03% 0-3 @ 1.99% 2-3 @ 1.04% Other @ 1.58% Total : 32.59% |
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