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Segunda Division | Gameweek 15
Nov 27, 2020 at 8pm UK
Estadio La Rosaleda

Malaga
2 - 2
Lugo

Juande (70', 88')
Munoz (44'), Chavarria (90+2'), Enriquez (90+4')
Quintana (56')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Rama (27'), Venancio (40')
Torres (20'), Angel Carrillo (57'), Ramos (90')
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Malaga and Lugo.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malaga win with a probability of 36.32%. A win for Lugo had a probability of 32.59% and a draw had a probability of 31.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malaga win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.26%) and 2-1 (6.9%). The likeliest Lugo win was 0-1 (13.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (13.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.

Result
MalagaDrawLugo
36.32%31.09%32.59%
Both teams to score 39.25%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
31.56%68.44%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
13.78%86.22%
Malaga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.98%36.02%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.2%72.79%
Lugo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.34%38.66%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.6%75.4%
Score Analysis
    Malaga 36.31%
    Lugo 32.59%
    Draw 31.09%
MalagaDrawLugo
1-0 @ 14.21%
2-0 @ 7.26%
2-1 @ 6.9%
3-0 @ 2.47%
3-1 @ 2.35%
3-2 @ 1.12%
Other @ 2%
Total : 36.31%
0-0 @ 13.92%
1-1 @ 13.51%
2-2 @ 3.28%
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 31.09%
0-1 @ 13.23%
1-2 @ 6.42%
0-2 @ 6.29%
1-3 @ 2.03%
0-3 @ 1.99%
2-3 @ 1.04%
Other @ 1.58%
Total : 32.59%


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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