Espanyol
2 - 1
Lugo

Embarba (30'), de Tomas (58')
Calero (35')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Angel Carrillo (33')
Hacen (39'), Juanpe (41'), Campabadal (75')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Espanyol and Lugo.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Espanyol win with a probability of 63.49%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Lugo had a probability of 12.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Espanyol win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (15.14%) and 2-1 (8.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (11.9%), while for a Lugo win it was 0-1 (6.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Espanyol would win this match.

Result
Espanyol	Draw	Lugo
63.49%	24.4%	12.11%

Both teams to score 32.95%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

35.8%

64.19%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.67%

83.32%

Espanyol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.71%

20.29%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.34%

52.65%

Lugo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

41.34%

58.66%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

10.05%

89.95%

Score Analysis

Espanyol 63.48%

Lugo 12.11%

Draw 24.39%

Espanyol	Draw	Lugo
1-0 @ 18.98% 2-0 @ 15.14% 2-1 @ 8.08% 3-0 @ 8.05% 3-1 @ 4.29% 4-0 @ 3.21% 4-1 @ 1.71% 3-2 @ 1.15% 5-0 @ 1.02% Other @ 1.85% Total : 63.48%	0-0 @ 11.9% 1-1 @ 10.12% 2-2 @ 2.15% Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.39%	0-1 @ 6.35% 1-2 @ 2.7% 0-2 @ 1.69% Other @ 1.37% Total : 12.11%