Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malaga win with a probability of 47.33%. A draw had a probability of 29.8% and a win for Amorebieta had a probability of 22.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malaga win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.34%) and 2-1 (7.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.65%), while for an Amorebieta win it was 0-1 (10.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
