Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malaga win with a probability of 44.66%. A draw had a probability of 28.5% and a win for Real Sociedad B had a probability of 26.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malaga win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.04%) and 2-1 (8.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.05%), while for a Real Sociedad B win it was 0-1 (10.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Malaga would win this match.