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Segunda Division | Gameweek 15
Nov 7, 2021 at 5.15pm UK
Cartagonova, Cartagena, Murcia

Cartagena
3 - 1
Malaga

Castro (45' pen., 65'), Vazquez (54')
Andujar (5'), Neskes (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Peybernes (82')
Jimenez (9'), Rodriguez (37'), Gomez (43'), de la Fuente (61'), Peybernes (78')
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Cartagena and Malaga.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cartagena win with a probability of 49.06%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Malaga had a probability of 22.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cartagena win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.41%) and 2-1 (8.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.66%), while for a Malaga win it was 0-1 (9.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cartagena would win this match.

Result
CartagenaDrawMalaga
49.06%28.18%22.75%
Both teams to score 41.06%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.42%63.58%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.12%82.88%
Cartagena Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.76%26.24%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.66%61.34%
Malaga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.67%44.33%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.6%80.39%
Score Analysis
    Cartagena 49.06%
    Malaga 22.75%
    Draw 28.18%
CartagenaDrawMalaga
1-0 @ 15.56%
2-0 @ 10.41%
2-1 @ 8.47%
3-0 @ 4.64%
3-1 @ 3.78%
4-0 @ 1.55%
3-2 @ 1.54%
4-1 @ 1.26%
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 49.06%
1-1 @ 12.66%
0-0 @ 11.63%
2-2 @ 3.45%
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 28.18%
0-1 @ 9.46%
1-2 @ 5.15%
0-2 @ 3.85%
1-3 @ 1.4%
0-3 @ 1.04%
2-3 @ 0.93%
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 22.75%

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