SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mallorca win with a probability of 48.41%. A draw had a probability of 29.4% and a win for Castellon had a probability of 22.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mallorca win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.62%) and 1-2 (7.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.4%), while for a Castellon win it was 1-0 (10.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Castellon | Draw | Mallorca |
| 22.19% | 29.4% | 48.41% |
| Both teams to score 37.8% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 32.59% | 67.41% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 14.46% | 85.54% |
| Castellon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.8% | 47.2% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 17.36% | 82.64% |
| Mallorca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.6% | 28.4% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.85% | 64.15% |
| Score Analysis |
| Castellon | Draw | Mallorca |
| 1-0 @ 10.06% 2-1 @ 4.76% 2-0 @ 3.78% 3-1 @ 1.19% 3-0 @ 0.95% Other @ 1.45% Total : 22.18% | 0-0 @ 13.4% 1-1 @ 12.66% 2-2 @ 2.99% Other @ 0.33% Total : 29.39% | 0-1 @ 16.87% 0-2 @ 10.62% 1-2 @ 7.97% 0-3 @ 4.46% 1-3 @ 3.35% 0-4 @ 1.4% 2-3 @ 1.26% 1-4 @ 1.05% Other @ 1.43% Total : 48.41% |
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