Alcorcon
2 - 1
Castellon

Xisco (4'), Nwakali (73')
Ojeda (61'), Garcia (64'), Gual (83'), Jimenez (90+6')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Lapena (22')
Mateu (10'), Indias (84'), Sene (90+8')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Alcorcon and Castellon.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alcorcon win with a probability of 38.84%. A draw had a probability of 31.4% and a win for Castellon had a probability of 29.79%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alcorcon win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.01%) and 2-1 (7.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.53%), while for a Castellon win it was 0-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alcorcon would win this match.

Result
Alcorcon	Draw	Castellon
38.84%	31.37%	29.79%

Both teams to score 38.01%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

30.41%

69.59%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

13.03%

86.97%

Alcorcon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65%

35%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.25%

71.75%

Castellon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.48%

41.51%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.99%

78.01%

Score Analysis

Alcorcon 38.84%

Castellon 29.78%

Draw 31.37%

Alcorcon	Draw	Castellon
1-0 @ 15.25% 2-0 @ 8.01% 2-1 @ 7.04% 3-0 @ 2.8% 3-1 @ 2.46% 3-2 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.2% Total : 38.84%	0-0 @ 14.53% 1-1 @ 13.41% 2-2 @ 3.09% Other @ 0.34% Total : 31.37%	0-1 @ 12.77% 1-2 @ 5.9% 0-2 @ 5.62% 1-3 @ 1.73% 0-3 @ 1.65% 2-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.22% Total : 29.78%