Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mallorca win with a probability of 60.33%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Lugo had a probability of 14.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mallorca win was 1-0 with a probability of 17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.54%) and 2-1 (8.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.96%), while for a Lugo win it was 0-1 (6.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mallorca would win this match.
