Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alcorcon win with a probability of 35.98%. A draw had a probability of 32.4% and a win for Lugo had a probability of 31.63%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alcorcon win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.32%) and 1-2 (6.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (15.84%), while for a Lugo win it was 1-0 (13.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alcorcon would win this match.
