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Segunda Division | Gameweek 17
Dec 7, 2020 at 8pm UK
Iberostar Stadium

Mallorca
3 - 1
Castellon

Prats (8', 55'), Sevilla (12')
Sedlar (73')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Satrustegui (73')
Satrustegui (86')
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Mallorca and Castellon.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mallorca win with a probability of 51.58%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Castellon had a probability of 20.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mallorca win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.26%) and 2-1 (8.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.33%), while for a Castellon win it was 0-1 (9.02%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mallorca would win this match.

Result
MallorcaDrawCastellon
51.58%27.93%20.48%
Both teams to score 39.25%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
35.45%64.55%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.42%83.57%
Mallorca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.51%25.49%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.67%60.33%
Castellon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.68%47.32%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.27%82.73%
Score Analysis
    Mallorca 51.57%
    Castellon 20.48%
    Draw 27.92%
MallorcaDrawCastellon
1-0 @ 16.48%
2-0 @ 11.26%
2-1 @ 8.43%
3-0 @ 5.14%
3-1 @ 3.84%
4-0 @ 1.76%
3-2 @ 1.44%
4-1 @ 1.31%
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 51.57%
1-1 @ 12.33%
0-0 @ 12.05%
2-2 @ 3.16%
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 27.92%
0-1 @ 9.02%
1-2 @ 4.62%
0-2 @ 3.38%
1-3 @ 1.15%
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 20.48%

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