Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Castellon win with a probability of 38.1%. A draw had a probability of 31.2% and a win for Alcorcon had a probability of 30.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Castellon win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.77%) and 2-1 (7.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.2%), while for an Alcorcon win it was 0-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.