Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mirandes win with a probability of 39.74%. A draw had a probability of 30.6% and a win for Castellon had a probability of 29.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mirandes win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.13%) and 2-1 (7.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.43%), while for a Castellon win it was 0-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.
