SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Castellon win with a probability of 35.65%. A win for Real Zaragoza had a probability of 33.55% and a draw had a probability of 30.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Castellon win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.04%) and 2-1 (6.91%). The likeliest Real Zaragoza win was 0-1 (13.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Castellon in this match.
| Result | ||
| Castellon | Draw | Real Zaragoza |
| 35.65% | 30.81% | 33.55% |
| Both teams to score 40.04% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 32.44% | 67.56% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 14.36% | 85.64% |
| Castellon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.02% | 35.98% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 27.24% | 72.76% |
| Real Zaragoza Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.54% | 37.46% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 25.76% | 74.24% |
| Score Analysis |
| Castellon | Draw | Real Zaragoza |
| 1-0 @ 13.77% 2-0 @ 7.04% 2-1 @ 6.91% 3-0 @ 2.4% 3-1 @ 2.36% 3-2 @ 1.16% Other @ 2.01% Total : 35.64% | 1-1 @ 13.52% 0-0 @ 13.47% 2-2 @ 3.4% Other @ 0.4% Total : 30.79% | 0-1 @ 13.23% 1-2 @ 6.64% 0-2 @ 6.5% 1-3 @ 2.17% 0-3 @ 2.13% 2-3 @ 1.11% Other @ 1.76% Total : 33.54% |
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