Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Castellon win with a probability of 35.65%. A win for Real Zaragoza had a probability of 33.55% and a draw had a probability of 30.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Castellon win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.04%) and 2-1 (6.91%). The likeliest Real Zaragoza win was 0-1 (13.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Castellon in this match.