SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mallorca win with a probability of 47.85%. A draw had a probability of 30.1% and a win for Malaga had a probability of 22.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mallorca win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.62%) and 2-1 (7.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.36%), while for a Malaga win it was 0-1 (10.4%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mallorca would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Mallorca | Draw | Malaga |
| 47.85% | 30.09% | 22.06% |
| Both teams to score 36.26% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 30.73% | 69.28% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 13.23% | 86.77% |
| Mallorca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.37% | 29.63% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.33% | 65.67% |
| Malaga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.53% | 48.47% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 16.43% | 83.57% |
| Score Analysis |
| Mallorca | Draw | Malaga |
| 1-0 @ 17.46% 2-0 @ 10.62% 2-1 @ 7.69% 3-0 @ 4.31% 3-1 @ 3.12% 4-0 @ 1.31% 3-2 @ 1.13% 4-1 @ 0.95% Other @ 1.25% Total : 47.83% | 0-0 @ 14.36% 1-1 @ 12.65% 2-2 @ 2.79% Other @ 0.29% Total : 30.09% | 0-1 @ 10.4% 1-2 @ 4.58% 0-2 @ 3.77% 1-3 @ 1.11% 0-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.3% Total : 22.06% |
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