Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mallorca win with a probability of 47.85%. A draw had a probability of 30.1% and a win for Malaga had a probability of 22.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mallorca win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.62%) and 2-1 (7.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.36%), while for a Malaga win it was 0-1 (10.4%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mallorca would win this match.